Kick-off: Sunday 14 Sep 2025 at 15:00 CEST (14:00 BST)
Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley
Competition: Premier League, Matchday 4

Form & Context

Burnley have endured a difficult start under Scott Parker, taking just one point from their opening three games. The Clarets fell 0-1 at home to Manchester United, drew 1-1 away at Wolves and were beaten 0-2 at Arsenal, averaging only 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Newly promoted and short on attacking threat, their physical 4-2-3-1 system will rely on defensive organisation and set-pieces.

Liverpool, by contrast, arrive with nine points from three matches. Arne Slot’s side opened with a 2-0 home win over Ipswich, ground out a 1-0 victory away at Arsenal and beat West Ham 3-1. With 2 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game, they have looked sharp in both boxes. The trip to Turf Moor presents a chance to maintain their 100 % start.

Injuries & Yellow Cards

• Burnley injuries: Forward Zeki Amdouni (knee) is out, while Jordan Beyer and Connor Roberts are doubtful. Midfielder Sander Berge (hamstring), defender Hjalmar Ekdal (knee) and winger Nathan Redmond (muscle strain) remain sidelined.
• Yellow cards (Burnley): No Burnley player has more than one booking; discipline has been relatively good despite their winless start.
• Liverpool injuries: Only Curtis Jones (knock) and Stefan Bajcetic (hamstring) are ruled out. Right-back Jeremie Frimpong has recovered from a hamstring issue and is available, although not guaranteed to start.
• Yellow cards (Liverpool): According to Premier League stats, Conor Bradley, Milos Kerkez and Ryan Gravenberch have each received two yellow cards, while Ibrahima Konaté and Wataru Endo have one booking. Another caution edges them closer to a suspension.

Predicted Line-Ups

Burnley (4‑2‑3‑1): Dúbravka; Walker, Ekdal, Estève, Hartman; Ugochukwu, Cullen; Larsen, Mejbri, Anthony; Foster.
Liverpool (4‑2‑3‑1): Alisson; Szoboszlai, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo; Ekitike.

Tactical Preview

Parker is likely to deploy a compact mid-block, asking his full-backs to stay narrow and limiting space between the lines. Burnley’s midfield will focus on disrupting Liverpool’s build-up, with Ugochukwu and Cullen screening the defence and wingers Bruun Larsen and Anthony looking to break quickly. Liverpool’s 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 shape under Slot has emphasised aggressive pressing and fluid rotations. Gravenberch and Mac Allister will aim to control central zones, freeing Wirtz and Gakpo to float between the lines while Salah targets the space behind Burnley’s full-backs. Expect the champions to dominate possession but remain wary of counter-attacks and set-piece threats.

Key Numbers

• Head‑to‑head: Liverpool have won the last five meetings between the sides, including a 3‑1 home victory on 10 February 2024. Burnley’s last league win over Liverpool at Turf Moor came in 2016.
• Prediction models: Sports Illustrated’s preview tips Liverpool to win, predicting a 4‑1 away victory, while MyFootballFacts suggests a 2‑0 scoreline. Statistical models give Liverpool roughly a 48 % win probability, with a 28 % chance of a draw and 24 % for Burnley (based on bookmakers’ odds).
• Discipline: Liverpool players Conor Bradley, Milos Kerkez and Ryan Gravenberch each have two yellow cards; another booking edges them closer to a suspension.

Score Prediction

Liverpool’s attacking depth and defensive solidity make them strong favourites. Burnley will battle and may create a chance or two from set-pieces, but it’s difficult to see them stifling the champions for 90 minutes. A controlled away performance should yield another win for Slot’s men.

Prediction: Burnley 0 – 3 Liverpool.